The IPL 2025 league stage has 15 games left, Chennai Super Kings, Rajasthan Royals and Sunrisers Hyderabad are already out of controversy for the playoffs.
Royal Challengers Bangalore, Punjab Kings and Titans of Gujarat are almost certain to build a knock-out stage and Mumbai are also strong contenders, but Delhi’s capitals still have a proper opportunity and Lucknow Super Veteran and Kolkata Knight Riders Slim Chance.
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There are 32,768 potential combinations of the results, so nothing is yet sure for any of the remaining seven in the race.
Who is that IPL player?
We look at the possibilities:
| Team |
Best case landscape |
worst case scenario |
Possibility of making or tying for top 4 (%) |
Possibility of making or tying for top 2 (%) |
| RCB |
The only topper with 22 PT. If they win the remaining games and GT loses at least one |
Final 6th. If they lose all their remaining games then it can happen |
97.9 |
78.6 |
| GT |
The only topper with 22 PT. If they win their remaining games and RCB can lose one or more |
Losing all the remaining sports, finished 7th |
87.2 |
54.5 |
| PBKS |
The only topper with 21 PT. If they win the remaining games and both RCB and GT lose at least one |
Losing all the remaining sports, finished 7th |
90.1 |
46.0 |
| Mi |
The only topper with 20 PT. If they win the remaining games, RCB and GT lose two and lose PBK one |
Losing all the remaining sports, finished 7th |
75.0 |
36.1 |
| DC |
The only topper with 20 PT. If they win the remaining games, RCB and GT lose two and lose PBK and MI each. |
Losing all the remaining sports, finished 8th |
55.1 |
15.2 |
| KKR |
Finish for the top location with pbks. If they win the remaining games, RCB and GT lose two, PBK and MI lose each one. |
Finish the joint 8th position by losing all the remaining games |
14.0 |
1.1 |
| Agitation |
Tie 2 at 16 PT with RCB and either DC or GT. If they win the remaining games, RCB loses all of them, and DC loses one or GT two |
Losing all the remaining sports, finished 8th |
7.9 |
0.1 |
Ashutosh Sharma says that DC targets three wins to seal the playoff spots
How do we reach the possibilities: There are 32,768 potential combinations of remaining results with 15 games. For each team, we saw how many of them are with them either out of the top four or tied. We also saw how many combinations placed each team either alone or jointly in the top two. For example, RCB translates the possibility of 97.9% in the top four in 32,072 of possible combinations of match results. In 25,768 of them they end the first or second, alone or jointly, translating 78.6% chance.
