Hold the scenarios and probability of all ten IPL 2025 teams opportunities and to make it in the top four and qualify for the playoffs.
The Indian Premier League (IPL) with the completion of 56 matches in the 2025 season, the playoff race has entered its intensive stages. The teams no longer have time to dull, with the same loss probably ended their race in the next round. Mumbai Indians may be one of those teams. Hardik Pandya and the company are now in a difficult place, increasing MI in a dramatic match with Titans in Gujarat. However, for GT, they can breathe a sigh of relief as winning their remaining three matches will ensure a top 4 location.
Win on MI helped GT to top the IPL 2025 points table with 16 points out of 11 matches. They are ahead on NRR, even though Royal Challengers Bangalore are also at 16 points out of 11 games.
While Chennai Super Kings (CSK), Rajasthan Royals (RR) and Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH) have been officially abolished, seven teams are still in controversy for the last four spots.
The top of the table is packed tightly, with Gujarat Titans (GT), Royal Challengers Bangalore (RCB), Punjab Kings (PBK), and Mumbai Indians (MI) all packed with all within a distance of qualifications. But the capitals of Delhi are either not far away. Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR) and Lucknow Super Giants (LSGs) are also banking on favorable results to enter secretly. With the weight of each remaining match, the margin razor-thin for error.
Typically, 14 -digit teams pass through the top fourHowever, this will not be a case in IPL 2025. Four teams already broke the mark when May started and now 16 points will not guarantee the qualification. Here is a team-by-team breakdown that needs to make each side eligible.
IPL 2025 points Table
| Situation | Teams | Mat | won | Lost | NR | score | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gujarat Titans | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0.867 |
| 2 | Royal Challengers Bangalore | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0.482 |
| 3 | Punjab kings | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 0.376 |
| 4 | Mumbai Indians | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 1.274 |
| 5 | Delhi capitals | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 0.362 |
| 6 | Kolkata Knight Riders | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 0.249 |
| 7 | Lucknow Super Giants | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 10 | -0.469 |
| 8 | Sunrisers Hyderabad (E) | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -1.192 |
| 9 | Rajasthan Royals (E) | 12 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 6 | -0.718 |
| 10 | Chennai Super Kings (E) | 11 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 4 | -1.117 |
IPL playoff format
- Qualifier 1: The top two teams (1 vs. 2) from the league stage compete. The winner moves directly to the finals. Los gets another chance in qualifier 2.
- Eliminator: The third and fourth-fourth teams (third vs. 4th) faced. The winner proceeds to the qualifier 2, and the loser is abolished.
- Qualifier 2: Qualifier 1 loser plays the winner of the eliminator. The winner of this match is eligible for the final. The loser is abolished.
- Last: The winner of Qualifier 1 faces the winner of Qualifier 2 to determine the IPL Champion.
GT (Gujarat Titans) landscape
- Remaining fixtures: VS DC (A), VS LSG (H), VS CSK (H)
- Status: 1 – 11 matches, 16 points, NRR +0.867
- Possibility: ~ 95%
GT qualification landscape
GT has three games left and this gives them flexibility. Even a win in those remaining matches will help them secure 18 points and perhaps the playoffs. Three wins will ensure a top-two finish and thus, cushion of qualifier 1. However, their match against DC and LSG will be important. DC can secretly with a win, while LSG may bother others. Their strong NRR gives them a safety trap in tie scenario.
RCB (Royal Challengers Bangalore) landscape
- Remaining fixtures: VS LSG (A), VS SRH (H), VS KKR (H)
- Status: 1 – 11 matches, 16 points, NRR +0.482
- Possibility: ~ 90%.
RCB qualification landscape
RCBs are through all. Another win The remaining three matches will confirm a playoff spot matually. Two wins will take them to 20 points, possibly locking a top-two finish until other teams also grow. Their NRR is stable, but not unavailable, so a major loss can still complicate things if multi-team tie at 16 or 18 digits. However, with their current cushion, 95%of merit+ probability is realistic.
PBK (Punjab Kings) scenario
- Remaining fixtures: VS DC (H), VS Mi (H), VS RR (A)
- Status: 2 – 11 matches, 15 points, NRR +0.376
- Possibility: ~ 80%
PBK qualification landscape
Another win leads PBK to 17, which must be sufficient for top-four finish. The possibility of two wins is guaranteed. They face two strong teams in Mi and DC, so upcoming sports are important. 1-2 finish can leave them at 17 and depend on NRR and other results, especially if pushing through DC or KKR.
MI (Mumbai Indians) scenario
- Remaining fixtures: VS PBK (A), VS DC (H)
- Status: 4 – 12 matches, 14 points, NRR +1.274
- Possibility: ~ 70%
Merit landscape
Disadvantages against GT did not help MI. This not only ended the MI’s 6-match winning line, but also reduced their hopes slightly. MI should now beat Punjab Kings or Delhi capitals. Two will ensure merit in two matches. But if they lose both, they will be knocked. PBK and DC are both playoff contenders. While a loss against PBKs will not be harmful, a defeat for DC can eliminate their playoff expectations.
DC (Delhi Capital) scenario
- Remaining fixtures: VS PBK (A), VS GT (H), VS Mi (A)
- Post: 5th – 11 matches, 13 points, NRR +0.362
- Possibility: ~ 60%
DC Merit landscape
DC should win at least two matches out of their remaining three matches. This makes them 17, a possible qualifying score. If they win only one (15 points), they will depend a lot on the NRR and other teams will need to be falter. Beating either GT or MI is necessary in hurting rivals and increasing their own case.
KKR (Kolkata Knight Riders) landscape
- Remaining fixtures: VS CSK (H), VS SRH (A), VS RCB (A)
- Post: 6th – 11 matches, 11 points, NRR +0.249
- Possibility: ~ 10%
KKR qualification landscape
KKR needs to win at least two matches out of their last three matches for 15 points. Nevertheless, they will need favorable results elsewhere. Three wins (17 points) give him a strong shot, but his last game is against RCB. A disadvantage in any match can eliminate them, it depends on how DC and LSG end. His NRR is better than LSG, but worse than DC.
LSG (Lucknow Super Giants) landscape
- Remaining fixtures: VS RCB (H), VS GT (A), VS SRH (H)
- Post: 7th -11 matches, 10 points, NRR -0.469
- Possibility: ~ 5%
LSG qualification landscape
LSG will have to win the remaining three matches to get 16 points. Their low NRR means that they need at least a big win or also for rivals such as DC and KKR to lose multiple games. If they lose a single, their campaign is essentially over. It is important to win against both RCB and GT, as it directly damages the playoff rivals.
SRH (Sunrisers Hyderabad) landscape
- Remaining fixtures: VS KKR (H), VS RCB (A), VS LSG (A)
- Status: 8th -11 matches, 7 points, NRR -1.192
- Status: Finished
SRH cannot be worthy even if they all win the remaining games. They can reach only 13 points. His role is now to spoil against KKR, RCB and LSG. Expect them to test the strength of the bench and focus on ending the weather with pride.
RR (Rajasthan Royals) landscape
- Remaining fixtures: VS CSK (H), VS PBKS (H)
- Status: 9th -12 matches, 6 points, NRR -0.718
- Situation: Finished
RR is officially out of the playoffs after heavy losses to MI. Even two wins will be available for only 10 points. The team will watch to play SpiilSport.
CSK (Chennai Super Kings) landscape
- Remaining fixtures: VS KKR (A), VS RR (A), VS GT (A)
- Status: 10th -11 matches, 4 points, NRR -1.117
- Situation: Finished
The CSK’s campaign is over, and they will end in two below. A poor NRR and terrible form have marked their downfall. Their remaining match will influence the playoff race, especially if they disturb KKR or GT.
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