The Indian Premier League (IPL) 2025 season is gradually close to its decisive phase. Although no team has been officially terminated by the playoff race, there are some who have already taken a step in the next round, while the race for others is still alive on the basis of purely mathematical sequences and combinations. The Royal Challengers Bangalore (RCB) on Sunday raised their hopes of ending the top-four with an impressive win of 6 wickets over Delhi Capital.
Courtesy of victory, the Bengaluru franchise has topped the IPL 2025 points table, followed by Gujarat Titans and Delhi Capital. we asked Ravine(X AI) to share the possibility of the playoff qualification of the IPL franchise in IPL 2025. What was the result here:
Royal Challengers Bangalore (RCB): 88%
It is likely to end with 18–20 points (overall 9–10 wins). Their strong looks and the possibility of high victory make them almost certain to qualify. But, if history is to be considered, no one can be completely ‘safe’ with RCB.
Gujarat Titans (GT): 82%
With 6 matches, they can reach 16–18 points (total 8–9 wins). Their sports in hand give them a high possibility of merit.
Delhi Capital (DC): 70%
16 points are likely to end with (maximum with 8 wins). His consistent form gives him a solid opportunity despite a shock against RCB at home.
Mumbai Indians (MI): 65%
There is a possibility of reaching 14–16 points (total 7-8 wins). Although Mumbai has won 5 games on Trott, there is a lot of competition for the 4th and final playoff spots.
Punjab Kings (PBK): 50%
The 13–14 points (6–7 wins in total, as well as a solitary point from no-resolve against KKR) are likely to end. After a strong start for the campaign, PBKs have recently found a bit of a slip-up. All this is still in their hands, though.
Lucknow Super Giants (LSG): 25%
It is likely to end with 12–14 points (6-7 wins in total). As his top-order batsmen, Lucknow finds his weather in Doldrums. They need to win all the remaining matches to stay in the playoff hunt.
Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR): 10%
The 11–12 points (5–6 wins in total, Plus 1 No-Rezel) are expected to end. Defending champions exit the playoff spots, but keeping them in the race with only a few combinations with the results of other teams.
Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH): 5%
It is likely to end with 10–12 points (5–6 wins in total). They need a miracle to become eligible for the playoff spot again.
Rajasthan Royals (RR): 3%
It is likely to end with 9–10 points (total 4–5 wins). 5 consecutive disadvantages on Trots means that the royals are out of all playoffs.
Chennai Super Kings (CSK): 2%
It is likely to end with 8–10 points (total 4–5 wins). Although it is not for the MS Dhoni-left franchise, winning all his remaining games may not be enough to seal the top 5 locations for them.
Used functioning: Monte Carlo simulation
The remaining matches of the IPL 2025 season were simulated 10,000 times to estimate the final standing:
For each team, follow their remaining matches based on the winning possibilities.
– Calculate the final digit (2 points per win, 1 for a no-regalt, 0 for a loss).
– Rank teams by marks using NRRs as a tie-breaker (simplified: teams with high rank in TIES with positive NRR).
– Determine the percentage of simulation where each team ends in the top four.
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